Health care enrollment may only reach 5.4 million

 

McClatchy Washington Bureau

Only 5.4 million people are on track to purchase marketplace health coverage by the time open enrollment ends on March 31, according to a new analysis from Avalere Health.

After the Congressional Budget Office predicted 7 million Americans would sign up for coverage, they downsized their estimate to 6 million when technical problems with the HealthCare.gov website slowed enrollment in October and November. And even though the website has been functioning well since December, those early problems have cast a large shadow over enrollments ever since.

More than 4.2 million Americans have already purchased marketplace coverage. But using the enrollment experience of the Medicare prescription drug program as a template, Avalere projects that 22 percent, or 1.2 million people will purchase marketplace coverage by March 31. That would bring total enrollment 5.4 million people.

“The Administration is conducting aggressive outreach in March in an effort to boost enrollment. However, success of exchanges in 2014 will depend less on the size of the market and more on the risk profile of enrollees,” said Caroline Pearson, vice president at Avalere Health.

If a sizable share of the new enrollees are younger and presumably healthy, it would help keep premium costs lower in 2015.

Among states, California, Florida, Idaho, North Carolina, and Washington have already surpassed their projected enrollment numbers for 2014.

To see a state-by-state breakdown for marketplace enrollment, go the Avalere analysis at http://bit.ly/1nNENUS and scroll down to “download PDF.”

Read more Politics Wires stories from the Miami Herald

  •  
Kansas Secretary of State Kris Kobach talks to the media after the Kansas Supreme Court heard a petition by Democrat Chad Taylor to remove his name from the ballot after he withdrew from the U.S. Senate race Tuesday, Sept. 16, 2014, in Topeka, Kan. Kobach, a Republican, ruled that Taylor's name must remain on the ballot because he didn't comply with state election law.

    Democrats may face 2nd fight in Kansas Senate race

    The Republican serving as Kansas' top elections official won't give up on forcing Democrats to field a U.S. Senate candidate, even if the state Supreme Court orders the current nominee's removal from the ballot.

  •  
In this Thursday, Aug. 21, 2014 photo, Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen arrives for a dinner during the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium at the Jackson Lake Lodge in Grand Teton National Park near Jackson, Wyo. Yellen will be pressed to clarify the Fed's intentions after the Fed issues its policy statement on Wednesday, Sept. 17, 2014.

    Financial markets awaiting any Fed signal on rates

    Financial markets are awaiting the end of a Federal Reserve meeting Wednesday to see whether the Fed sends any clearer signal about the timing of an interest rate increase.

  • House passes 'no welfare for weed' bill

    The House passed a bill Tuesday that could make it a little harder for people to use government welfare payments to buy marijuana in states where the drug is legal.

Miami Herald

Join the
Discussion

The Miami Herald is pleased to provide this opportunity to share information, experiences and observations about what's in the news. Some of the comments may be reprinted elsewhere on the site or in the newspaper. We encourage lively, open debate on the issues of the day, and ask that you refrain from profanity, hate speech, personal comments and remarks that are off point. Thank you for taking the time to offer your thoughts.

The Miami Herald uses Facebook's commenting system. You need to log in with a Facebook account in order to comment. If you have questions about commenting with your Facebook account, click here.

Have a news tip? You can send it anonymously. Click here to send us your tip - or - consider joining the Public Insight Network and become a source for The Miami Herald and el Nuevo Herald.

Hide Comments

This affects comments on all stories.

Cancel OK

  • Marketplace

Today's Circulars

  • Quick Job Search

Enter Keyword(s) Enter City Select a State Select a Category