AT JAGUARS (0-6)
Line: SD by 7 1/2.
Cotes pick: SD 23-17.
TV: 1 p.m., CBS.
Jacksonville is the first team since the 1984 Houston Oilers to be 0-6 with all six losses by double digits, but the Jags showed a bit of spine in Denver last week., and San Diego is infamously inconsistent. Am I hinting at an upset shot? Yes. I cant not take Philip Rivers against this pass defense, but I see it scrappy close.
AT TITANS (3-3)
Line: SF by 4.
Cotes pick: SF 24-13.
TV: 4:05 p.m., FOX (airing in South Florida).
Not big on interconference trends, but Id pass along that Tennessee has won 10 of past 13 at home vs. NFC teams. Doubt that continues. Niners have averaged 182 yards on ground the past three games, and Titans run-stopping is mediocre. Also, Ryan Fitzpatrick has been lousy and Chris Johnson is running in quicksand. Vegas lines arent way off often, but this feels like an easy cover for Niners.
AT PACKERS (3-2)
Line: GB by 10.
Cotes pick: GB 31-13.
TV: 4:25 p.m., CBS.
Green Bays Aaron Rodgers has won 21 of past 22 home games, with 59 TD passes and a 116.1 passer rating. Frustrated Cleveland fans are advertising Brandon Weedens job on Craigslist. Any questions? Cheesheads are on a 10-0 run at Lambeau by an average margin of 14.6 points.
AT STEELERS (1-4)
Line: PIT by 1 1/2.
Cotes pick: PIT 19-17.
TV: 4:25 p.m., CBS (airing in South Florida).
This feels like an upset pick even though it isnt, especially considering the Crows have won their past three straight trips to Ketchup Field. But Ray Rice has really struggled, and I like Ben Roethlisberger vs. Baltimores pass D a little more then I like Joe Flacco against Pitts. Biggest certainty is a close game. Teams split a year ago, each winning by three.
OFF THIS WEEK
RAIDERS (2-4; next vs. Steelers): Terrelle Pryors word of week: Oww! Chiefs sacked Raiders QB 10 times last week, only fifth time since 2001 an NFL passer has endured a double-digit plundering in a game.
SAINTS (5-1; next vs. Bills): NAwlins took first L on Tom Bradys last-second miracle last week, but it was TE Jimmy Graham held catch-less on six targets that was the shocker. Especially to his fantasy owners.