I have been doing my annual NFL Mock Draft in The Miami Herald for a long time. How long? When I started this, the Dolphins had recently played in a Super Bowl. THAT long! As I recall, the printing press had not quite been invented yet, so those earliest first-round selections were etched onto stone tablets that were then heaved onto front lawns with a thud.
Today arrives my 22nd Mock Draft, an amiable marriage of research and guesswork, of serious and lets have fun.
Revealed inside are all 32 of my first-round selections most importantly, of course, the Dolphins pick in the 12th overall spot.
Hes from Notre Dame!
No, not that guy the other one.
I spent all day Monday working the phones, cajoling and maneuvering, but despite my best efforts I was unsuccessful in attempts to trade down out of the draft entirely. Therefore, Slapdash Research and Utter Guesswork had a baby and welcome into the world today my 22nd annual Mock Draft.
Just about everybody does a mock draft now, but ours is the Mockiest.
I kid, but much goes into the crafting of a quality mock, such as weeks of laborious breakdown of analytics, in-depth interviews with NFL scouts and general managers and painstaking study of game films. I keep telling myself I should try all that some day; then again, what good does it do Mel Kiper Jr.?
Last year my Mock Draft correctly had 27 of the 32 first-round picks overall, with nine bulls-eyes exact players to exact teams. Kipers mock had 26 and seven. (To make matters worse, Mels hair tested positive for performance-enhancing gel.)
My 2012 bulls-eyes included Ryan Tannehill to the Dolphins, but I can tell you this years draft isnt as easy. No franchise quarterbacks and an offensive lineman chosen first overall make for a less than scintillating draft year. Miamis intentions among myriad options also are a jumble.
The biggest intrigue might be where Notre Dame linebacker Manti Teo is finally is drafted. (If we told him he was taken No. 1 overall, he might just believe us!)
The selection order below is as of late Monday and does not factor possible draft-day trades. As always, Super Bonus Draft Facts are interspersed in italics.
Now let us Mock!
1. Kansas City Chiefs: Luke Joeckel, OT, Texas A&M When Johnny Manziel won the Heisman, this is the teammate who should have said, Youre welcome. Joeckel is seen in this draft the way the Dolphins saw Jake Long in 2008. Lifes certainties: Death, taxes, Jeffrey Loria trading his best players and the Chiefs drafting this guy.
2. Jacksonville Jaguars: Dion Jordan, DE-OLB, Oregon What woeful Jacksonville really needs is a quarterback, but this isnt the draft for that. Tackle Eric Fisher will tempt mightily here, but pass-rush help is a more dire Jags need than blocking help, so the pick swings to the Duck.
3. Oakland Raiders: Sharrif Floyd, DT, Florida Oakland media, put those lame Theres a new Sharrif in town! puns on standby. Raiders need a load to plug a porous run D, and Floyd is this drafts loadiest in that category.
4. Philadelphia Eagles: Eric Fisher, OT, Michigan I dont buy the Geno Smith rumors here. I do buy that a D-lineman such as Ziggy Ansah or Star Lotulelei are possible fits, but Fisher fills Birds biggest position hole and gets the nod over Lane Johnson.