Americans are relocating to Florida in droves, House Speaker Will Weatherford told a group of liberty-loving activists at the Capitol.
Why? Freedom! It’s a quantity in short supply in those tax-loving states up north.
“You may not know this, but today almost 1,000 people a day are moving to the state of Florida,” he said at a rally by Americans for Prosperity Florida on March 19. “Do you know why they’re coming here? Because they are more free here than they are in some other states.”
We checked out Weatherford’s number for new Floridians and why they’re coming here. Grab your U-Haul and come along.
Weatherford spokesman Ryan Duffy sent us a March 2013 Sarasota Herald-Tribune article about Florida’s booming population growth. “Fueled by job seekers, foreign immigrants and baby boomer retirees,” Florida will soon surpass New York in population, the article states.
Duffy honed in on one line: “Moody’s is among those predicting Florida’s population will swell by 360,000 this year.” Weatherford divided 360,000 by 365, which comes out to 986.3 (or “almost 1,000 people a day”).
Chris Lafakis, the Moody’s Analytics senior economist behind the projection, told us his figure is based on net migration, which is the number of people moving in minus those moving out, plus the number of births minus deaths. It includes people who move here from other countries, not just other states.
Mekael Teshome, a PNC Financial Services Group economist, told us the Moody’s projection is on the high side, and his estimate for population growth in 2013 is in the upper 200,000s.
Weatherford is not the only politician touting the number of people moving into the state. Gov. Rick Scott said on CNN and in other interviews that 230,000 people moved to Florida in 2012, referencing census numbers.
We thought of a few ways to interpret Weatherford’s claim that people are moving to Florida because of freedom. Cubans who arrive on Miami-Dade shores? Fair to say they are moving here for freedom. New York retirees trading in their down coats for swim suits? We’re not sure they’d say freedom.
Asked to clarify Weatherford’s remarks, his spokesman sent us materials indicating he meant economic freedom. He directed us to a study by the business-backed Tax Foundation that showed Florida ranked No. 27 of states with the highest tax burdens. New York, New Jersey, Connecticut and California topped the list.
Does this really explain our population boom? Economists typically don’t factor in value judgments, Teshome said. But they still have an idea of what brings people to, ahem, the Sunshine State.
“Florida’s great weather and abundant white-collar job opportunities are what primarily attract individuals,” Lafakis said, “but the lack of a personal income tax and a pretty friendly business climate certainly help.”
The population uptick is picking up as the result of an improving national economy that enables out-of-staters to sell their houses and buy new ones in Florida, Teshome said.
The University of Florida’s Bureau of Economic and Business Research conducts a random monthly telephone survey of state residents. For respondents who say they have moved to Florida, be it one year ago or many, researchers ask about their primary reason for the move.