Greg Cote

In my opinion

Greg Cote’s Week 16 NFL picks

 

gcote@MiamiHerald.com

We’re running faster — arms pumping, chest heaving, legs a pistoning blur — but the finish line keeps seeming farther and farther away. That is the feeling when one has made up ground gradually but remains nine games under .500 against the spread with a mere two weeks to play. Still possible? Sure. I’d take my odds over the Dolphins’ playoff chances. But likely? Let’s change the subject. Hit a pair of outright upsets last week with Vikings and Cowboys winning; also had Niners with points over Pats. But too many teams (Ravens, Giants, Lions, Chargers) let us down with shameful efforts. I smite them. Coal in their stockings!

Overall Pct. Vs. spread Pct.
Last week10-6.6258-7-1.533
Season145-78-1.65098-107-19.480
Final 2011159-97.621127-105-24.547

BILLS (5-9) at DOLPHINS (6-8)

Line: MIA by 4 1/2.

Cote’s pick: MIA 24-17.

TV: 1 p.m., CBS (airing in South Florida).

A serpentining conga line of dominoes all must fall for Miami to still make the playoffs, starting this week with the Dolphins winning here and with Cincinnati losing at Pittsburgh. I like Miami’s chances — in this game if not for the postseason. The Bills defense has turned abysmal. It has gotten so embarrassing that guys named Bill have filed a class-action suit to demand Buffalo change its nickname. The Buffs are the first team since 1986 to allow 45-plus points four times in a season. Miami somehow lost to this squad 19-14 in November, but Bison haven’t swept the season series since 2007. Why start now? This is Bills’ eighth consecutive losing season and 12th year in a row watching the playoffs from the couch. By that I mean this game — like last week’s vs. Jacksonville — is a soft home date no self-respecting Dolphins team would dare lose. The club is calling this home finale “Fan Appreciation Day.” Hmm. Given the anticipated one-third empty stadium, I wonder if the club means that sarcastically or with irony?

BENGALS (8-6) at STEELERS (7-7)

Line: PIT by 4.

Cote’s pick: PIT 23-20.

TV: 1 p.m., CBS.

Plenty of other high-stakes games this week (Giants Ravens, 49ers-Seahawks), but the GOTW committee was smitten by the winner-take-all feel of this AFC North battle. A Bengals win clinches a playoff spot and eliminates the Steelers (and Dolphins) from contention. A Steelers win muddies the whole thing and leaves it for next week to decide. A real statement game for Cincy, which can never seem to get over that Steelers/Ravens division hump. See this one closer than the line — Steelers’ injuries in secondary worry me — but give us the more-desperate home team to win its sixth in a row in this series.

GIANTS (8-6) at RAVENS (9-5)

Line: NYG by 2.

Cote’s pick: BAL 27-24.

TV: 4:25 p.m., Fox.

“AAAWWWK!” carols the Upset Bird, tipsy from rum-laden holiday egg nog. “Baltimaawwk!” This easily could have been the Game of the Week as well, with the defending champion Giants needing this win to keep playoff hopes alive and the Ravens clinching the AFC North title with a win after backing into the playoffs despite three consecutive losses. Both teams laid down like drunk elves last week, and I don’t trust either. But Biggies haven’t been a strong road team, and I just can’t see Crows dropping third in a row at home. “Was about to say something, but lost my train of thought,” adds U-Bird. “Was distracted by the reference to drunk elves. Merry Christmaaawwwk!”

Read more Greg Cote stories from the Miami Herald

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    Miami Heat players have been steadfastly neutral in claiming no preference as they waited for Indiana and New York to figure out which would play the underdog in the NBA’s upcoming Eastern Conference finals. Confident champions do not deign to worry about who’s next; they leave the worrying to opponents. The lion who runs the jungle does not much care if he is feasting on zebra or antelope, after all.

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Miami Heat's Dwyane Wade, dunks over Bulls' Joakim Noah # 13 and Nate Robinson # 2, with two minutes left in the fourth quarter of the Miami Heat vs Chicago Bulls, NBA  Eastern Conference playoffs round 2, game 5 at AmericanAirlines Arena in Miami on Wednesday, May 15, 2013.

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    Greg Cote: Dwyane Wade’s heroics help Miami Heat in comeback

    Welcome back, Dwyane Wade.

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MIami Heat's Dwyane Wade sits on the bench in the second quarter holding his leg as they play the Chicago Bulls in Round 2, Game 4, of the NBA Playoffs at the United Center in Chicago, Illinois, May 13, 2013.

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    Greg Cote: Miami Heat’s playoff health tied to Dwyane Wade

    Most of the unusually low numbers from this game should delight Heat fans. Those numbers stunk up this city Monday night and all but required the Bulls arena to be immediately fumigated following this NBA playoff series Game 4 here. Those numbers were Chicago’s meager 65 points scored on abysmal 25.7 percent shooting — both owing largely to a Miami defense that is that good, yes.

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