World Wires

Division within Egypt’s opposition over upcoming vote could hand Morsi a win

 

McClatchy Newspapers

While opponents to a constitutional referendum called by Egyptian President Mohammed Morsi have successfully mobilized protests that have drawn thousands to demonstrations at the presidential palace in the past week, they have yet to agree on how to approach next weekend’s vote, divided over whether to keep pushing for a delay, boycott or urge Egyptians to vote the proposed constitution down.

“We are still waiting to see the position of the revolutionary groups and the opposition so that we take a unified position. We won’t take a decision on our own,” said Mosaab Shahrour, a member of the April 6 movement, a leading opposition group.

That indecision could undercut what many say is the opposition’s best chance to hand Morsi and his Islamist supporters a defeat in a venue that Morsi would have to recognize as legitimate – unlike his battle with the country’s judges, who he says are dominated by appointees of the discredited regime of toppled President Hosni Mubarak.

Morsi made one concession on Saturday to his opposition, though it was unclear whether that would unify or divide his opponents.

After a meeting of 54 Morsi opponents and supporters held at the presidential palace, a Morsi adviser said the president had agreed to cancel his controversial Nov. 22 declaration in which he exempted his decisions from judicial oversight. He also agreed that if the constitution is defeated, he would call elections to select a new constitutional assembly.

But the adviser, Mohammed al Awa, said neither decision would halt the referendum, which now takes center stage as the key point in the three-week political standoff.

Opposition leaders didn’t immediately react to the announcement, which came after midnight. The prospect of being able to influence the selection of a new constitutional assembly could spur Morsi opponents to find a unified stand on the referendum. But Morsi’s refusal to delay it could prompt others to boycott the vote.

The inability on the part of liberals, secularists, Christians and moderates to present unified candidates and positions has been a major reason Islamists have dominated Egypt in the nearly two years since Mubarak resigned the presidency.

Last year, many of them sat out parliamentary elections in protest, allowing candidates of the Muslim Brotherhood and other Islamist conservative movements to dominate. During the presidential election earlier this year, the same group of opponents put up three candidates, dividing the vote and contributing to Morsi’s win in the runoff, in which his opponent was a former Mubarak official. During the writing of the constitution, Christian and secular members of the constitutional assembly withdrew, leaving members of the Muslim Brotherhood to dominate the group.

The meeting Saturday, which Morsi attended only briefly, offered another sign of the opposition’s divisions. The leading opposition groups refused to participate because Morsi had not delayed the referendum and had not canceled his Nov. 22 decree before the meeting was to take place.

That may change, with the decree now withdrawn. Still, opponents have not decided how best to confront the fact that the referendum will certainly take place. Opponents have called hundreds of thousands to the streets in nearly daily protests in the hopes of delaying the referendum. Now they say they hesitate to urge people to vote against the constitution in the referendum for fear of legitimizing the document, should it win approval.

“We don’t want to tell people to vote in the referendum because that means we accept what Morsi did by rushing the new constitution,” said one of Egypt’s most prolific liberal bloggers, an anonymous writer known only as “Big Pharaoh” who plans to vote no. “The majority did not write the constitution.”

Others, however, say it’s time for a new strategy, arguing that organizing voters to cast ‘no’ ballots is the only legitimate means they have to stop Morsi.

Election results from the first round of presidential voting last May suggest a concerted campaign to bring out ‘no’ votes could be successful. While Morsi won the most votes in that round – 25 percent – two liberal and secular candidates – Ahmed Shafik and Hamdeen Sabahi – won more votes combined – a total of 45 percent, with Shafik winning 23 percent and Sabahi, 22.

Without a unified message, the opposition will have a difficult time beating the organization of Morsi’s supporters, many of whom are members of the Muslim Brotherhood, Egypt’s best-organized group.

The Brotherhood is already urging voters to support the referendum, a campaign that began just hours after the constitutional assembly completed its draft.

Ismail is a McClatchy special correspondent.

Email: nyoussef@mcclatchydc.com; Twittere: @nancyayoussef

Read more World Wires stories from the Miami Herald

  • Asif Ali Zardari likely will lose Pakistan’s presidency – and immunity from prosecution

    Pakistan’s president, Asif Ali Zardari, will certainly lose his job in September – and like his predecessor, retired Gen. Pervez Musharraf, he’s likely to face criminal charges under the government of newly elected Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif.

  •  

In this image from amateur video obtained by a group which calls itself Ugarit News, shows rebel fighters celebrating after purportedly capturing an army base in Nairab, northwestern Syria, Thursday, May 23, 2013. The video is consistent with independent AP reporting. Rebel fighters captured an army base late Wednesday, a rare victory after a series of battlefield setbacks, the Britain-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, a pro-opposition group said. The group said scores of pro-regime troops and more than a dozen rebels were killed in the battle for the base, near the northwestern town of Nairab.

    Clashes in Lebanon feed fear of Syria spillover

    Lebanese supporters and opponents of Syrian President Bashar Assad fired heavy machine guns and lobbed mortar shells at each other Thursday in some of the worst fighting in the port city of Tripoli in years.

  •  

FILE - In this May 21, 2013 file photo, a burnt out car,  in the Stockholm suburb of Kista after youths rioted in several different suburbs around Stockholm for a third executive night. Immigrant youth in sleepy suburban communities run amok, hurling rocks at police and torching cars, restaurants and culture centers. It isn't France or Britain, but Sweden _ a Scandinavian bastion of generous social welfare and egalitarian political culture. Though this week's rioting outside Stockholm was triggered by perceived police brutality, observers say that there has been a surge of angst in society as inequality rises on a backdrop of burgeoning immigrant numbers.  (AP Photo/Scanipx Sweden, Fredrik Sandberg, File)  SWEDEN OUT

    Sweden's riots raise questions about inequality

    Sweden has long been a bastion of generous social welfare and an egalitarian political culture. So many people were shocked when scores of youths hurled rocks at police and set cars ablaze during rioting in several largely immigrant areas near Stockholm this week.

Miami Herald

Join the
Discussion

The Miami Herald is pleased to provide this opportunity to share information, experiences and observations about what's in the news. Some of the comments may be reprinted elsewhere on the site or in the newspaper. We encourage lively, open debate on the issues of the day, and ask that you refrain from profanity, hate speech, personal comments and remarks that are off point. Thank you for taking the time to offer your thoughts.

The Miami Herald uses Facebook's commenting system. You need to log in with a Facebook account in order to comment. If you have questions about commenting with your Facebook account, click here.

Have a news tip? You can send it anonymously. Click here to send us your tip - or - consider joining the Public Insight Network and become a source for The Miami Herald and el Nuevo Herald.

Hide Comments

This affects comments on all stories.

Cancel OK

  • Videos

  • Quick Job Search

Enter Keyword(s) Enter City Select a State Select a Category