Sure, I could mention that last week’s Upset of the Week pick (Eagles over Redskins) might have been the worst decision since John McCain said, “OK that settles it, then. It’s Sarah Palin.” But on this holiday, I prefer to emphasize what I’m thankful for — a bull’s-eye on Jets’ upset at St. Louis, and Jaguars, Chargers and Steelers with the points. Give me 12-2 straight-up and 9-4-1 against the spread and I’ll say thanks every time. [Thanksgiving Day picks: Texans (-3) over Lions, 31-24; Redskins (+3 1/2) over Cowboys, 24-23; and Patriots (-6 1/2) over Jets, 27-17].

Line: SEA by 3.

Cote’s pick: SEA 23-17.

TV: 1 p.m., Fox.

Hope y’all had a wonderful Thanksgiving, and that this pick doesn’t exacerbate your indigestion. There are teams that are distinctly better at home than traveling, even beyond the norm, and Seattle (1-4 on the road) is one of them. Likewise the ’Hawks rookie QB, Russell Wilson, commensurately has been much better in the Space Needle’s comforting shadow. These are reasons to look hard at Miami as a home ’dog. Alas, there are not many others. Marshawn Lynch (four consecutive 100s) is one of the best runners Miami will face all season, and Seattle’s defense is that, too. I cannot think of many tougher opponents in terms of Ryan Tannehill trying to shake a personal funk and get his bandwagon rockin’ again. Tannehill (needing 91 yards) surely will break Dan Marino’s 1983 rookie record of 2,210 yards, but the phrase “pyrrhic victory” comes to mind. Seattle is coming off a bye and vitally in a playoff hunt in a way Miami is not. Also, ’Hawks are a sturdy 7-3 against the point spread. Sorry, Dolfans. Don’t take it personally. It’s just business.

Line: Off board.

Cote’s pick: NO 31-27.

TV: 4:25 p.m., Fox.

Game of the Week committee was mightily challenged with stout, competing Week 12 presentations by Packers-Giants and even Falcons-Bucs, but ultimately the panel was wooed by a great 49ers defense dueling a great (and hot) Saints offense. Panel also liked that it’s a rematch of last year’s playoff game won by San Fran, 36-32. Game stayed off bet boards because of Niners quarterback situation, with Colin Kaepernick likely to start as Alex Smith continues with concussion symptoms — and also with coach Jim Harbaugh inviting a QB controversy with his “hot hand” comments. But that isn’t why I like N’Awlins; Kaepernick is good. Like Cajuns because Frans are coming off a short week, and because Drew Brees at home — he has a 20-yard completion in 100 staright games, a record — is close to unstoppable.

Line: NYG by 2 1/2.

Cote’s pick: GB 30-28.

TV: 8:20 p.m., NBC.

“AAWWK!” carols the Upset Bird, thankful for another year not associated with the turkey breed. “Green Bay Paaawwwk!” Sunday prime-timer is a top-grade NFC matchup, with Aaron Rodgers’ Cheesers way hot and Eli Manning’s Biggies trying to shake off back-to-back losses and start acting like champs. Giants coming off a bye gives us pause, but still like Gee Bees to avenge last season’s playoff loss. Rodgers is 24-4 on TDs/picks in past seven games. I just trust that guy. “I too love Aaron Raawwk,” notes U-Bird, a turkey wishbone hanging ghoulishly from a neck chain. “Although I’m not sure how much of my admiration is dispassionate and how is due to him being on my fantasy taaawwwk!”