Other Views

MIDDLE EAST

While Gaza roils, Egypt has issues at home

 

trubin@phillynews.com

I came to Egypt to examine the impact a Muslim Brotherhood president has had on the country. Egyptian liberals and moderate Muslims have been struggling with religious political parties over the role of Islam in the state.

But an explosion of new fighting in Gaza, as Israel retaliates for a wave of Hamas rocket attacks on its cities and towns, reveals the constraints on any efforts to radically change Egypt. It also shows why Egypt’s peace treaty with Israel is likely to last.

In interviews with Brotherhood members, more orthodox Salafis, and opposition leaders during the week before the Gaza fighting began, it quickly became clear that the most pressing issue in Egypt is the economy, not sharia law.

“Ninety-nine percent of the people don’t care about this discussion of the constitution,” which is bogged down in a debate over sharia, said Mohamed ElBaradei, a key opposition leader and a former head of the International Atomic Energy Agency. “The people want work and healthcare, because the economy is stagnant.”

ElBaradei said that when he recently visited Aswan, a major tourist destination, its top tourist hotel was only 1 percent to 2 percent occupied. “People were only talking about jobs, jobs, jobs,” he said.

Egypt’s new elected president, longtime Muslim Brotherhood member Mohamed Morsi, understands this huge economic challenge, as does the Brotherhood’s political front, the Freedom and Justice Party. Morsi knows he and his party will be judged by whether they can provide jobs and improve ordinary Egyptians’ standard of living.

To do that, they desperately need help from global agencies as well as direct foreign investment. Morsi knows Egypt can’t afford to scare off investors and tourists, and it most certainly can’t afford to fight another war.

Nor can he afford to cut off all diplomatic or trade relations, including the so-called QIZs — Qualifying Industrial Zones — which give Egyptian textiles preferential access to U.S. markets as long as they contain a symbolic 10 percent contribution from Israel. The QIZs have created tens of thousands of desperately needed jobs.

With an eye toward Egypt’s security, Morsi also has tried harder than his deposed predecessor, Hosni Mubarak, to close the tunnels that link Gaza to Egypt’s Sinai Peninsula, which have become a conduit for terrorists and weapons.

Morsi’s pragmatism, born of economic necessity, probably explains why his party has not pressed to give sharia a greater role in the draft constitution being intensely debated. Egyptian liberals worry about constitutional loopholes and an increasingly religious social climate, as well as Salafi pressures (so far unsuccessful) to include more specific references to sharia rulings. The current draft calls for Egyptian laws to be in accordance with “the principles of sharia” — the same vague reference that has been in the constitution for decades.

The new president knows his reputation will rise or fall on whether he can make ordinary Egyptians’ lives better. He rashly promised to improve Cairo’s impossibly congested traffic and woefully absent garbage collection in his first 100 days. But Cairo’s main roads are still so jammed that they often resemble parking lots, and piles of garbage sit on many streets.

Morsi’s FJP, which espouses free-market principles, also knows that it will be judged in next year’s parliamentary elections by whether the president has delivered. Having been banned for decades, with many of its members imprisoned, the Brotherhood speaks of its parliamentary and presidential victories as divinely ordained. It came into office full of grandiose plans to eliminate Egypt’s legendary corruption, revamp its bureaucracy, and restore its historic glory.

Those promises quickly collided with a bureaucracy that has a 6,000-year history. Gehad El-Haddad, a member of the executive council of the Brotherhood’s Renaissance project (which is supposed to design a new, Islamically moral framework for the economy), offered a telling example: The Ministry of Information had 48,000 employees but only 12,000 desks — and no necessary functions. And when bribes were outlawed, it and many other ministries ground to a halt.

Facing such obstacles, Morsi most likely will try to avoid new ones for the foreseeable future. He simply cannot afford a major conflict with Israel. And the moment is not ripe for any full-court press on sharia law.

©2012 The Philadelphia Inquirer

Read more Other Views stories from the Miami Herald

  •  

MINHAS

    PAKISTAN

    Pakistan: Nawaz Sharif’s third chance to get it right

    On May 11, Pakistanis rejoiced at the first peaceful transition of power from one civilian government to another. However, that should not overshadow the problems that the country faces. The ball is in Nawaz Sharif’s court, the likely next prime minister. Having served twice before, he is lucky to have a rare, third chance to run the country.

  •  

KAYYEM

    MELTING ARCTIC

    Melting Arctic requires U.S. action

    The Arctic, which is melting and thereby creating new shipping routes and access to minerals, poses a foreign policy challenge for the United States and other nations — particularly in the warmer months when once-impassable seas become open. But it’s easy to put off dealing with it. The process is like the annual scramble for summer camp: The need for planning begins around February, when the season seems so far away and the kids are still in school and wearing snow boots. Then, suddenly, it’s mid-May.

  •  

MARCUS

    D.C. SCANDALS

    D.C. scandals need to be put in perspective

    Folks, deep breath time. This is not the end of the Obama presidency. It’s a bad stretch with an unfortunate confluence of unfortunate events. None of which will make the first paragraph — not even the first page — of the account of the Obama administration in the history books.

Miami Herald

Join the
Discussion

The Miami Herald is pleased to provide this opportunity to share information, experiences and observations about what's in the news. Some of the comments may be reprinted elsewhere on the site or in the newspaper. We encourage lively, open debate on the issues of the day, and ask that you refrain from profanity, hate speech, personal comments and remarks that are off point. Thank you for taking the time to offer your thoughts.

The Miami Herald uses Facebook's commenting system. You need to log in with a Facebook account in order to comment. If you have questions about commenting with your Facebook account, click here.

Have a news tip? You can send it anonymously. Click here to send us your tip - or - consider joining the Public Insight Network and become a source for The Miami Herald and el Nuevo Herald.

Hide Comments

This affects comments on all stories.

Cancel OK

  • Videos

  • Quick Job Search

Enter Keyword(s) Enter City Select a State Select a Category