Line: PIT by 11 1/2.

Cote’s pick: PIT 34-13.

TV: 8:30 p.m. Monday, ESPN (airing in South Florida).

The Dog panel convening to select the worst match-up of each week always has a safe default starting point in the moribund Chiefs. Particularly when they are playing at Pittsburgh, which has 14 consecutive Monday night home games. (Fourteen!) KC has lost five in a row, is a gruesome minus-20 on turnovers, and still has not had a single lead in regulation. Surely stranger things have happened than this game not being a rout. I just can’t think of any at the moment.

GIANTS (6-3) at BENGALS (3-5)

Line: NYG by 4.

Cote’s pick: NYG 27-19.

TV: 1 p.m., Fox.

The home team has won all eight meetings in this series, but every trend must eventually end, yes? Eli Manning and his Biggies offense haven’t played well lately — that’s why kicker Lawrence Tynes is on a record pace for most field goals — but slumping ’Gals have lost three in a row at home. The times Andy Dalton gets sacked will outnumber A.J. Green’s catches.

LIONS (4-4) at VIKINGS (5-4)

Line: DET by 1.

Cote’s pick: MIN 26-24.

TV: 1 p.m., Fox.

Motown had won three in a row in this division series before Minny won 20-13 on Sept. 30 — thanks to kickoff and punt-return TDs. Not many pigskin-pickin’ brethren agree, but I’m hunching a slight upset here for a Vikings season sweep. Minnesota has become a pretty stout home team (4-1) and hot Adrian Peterson has 458 rushing yards in past three games under roof at The Humph.

BILLS (3-5) at PATRIOTS (5-3)

Line: NE by 11.

Cote’s pick: NE 41-20.

TV: 1 p.m., CBS.

You might not find a more lopsided division series in the NFL. Patriots have owned Buffs in 22 of past 24 meetings including a 52-28 late-September rout in which Tom Brady threw for 340 yards and the Pats had two 100-yard leg men. Brady Bunch also has won 11 in a row at home over the Williams, and are coming off a bye. Just too, too much firepower on the home side.

CHARGERS (4-4) at BUCCANEERS (4-4)

Line: TB by 3.

Cote’s pick: SD 27-24.

TV: 1 p.m., CBS.

Upset! I know Josh Freeman and Tampa have been hot, putting up 28-plus points in four consecutive games. And I know Bucs rookie RB Doug Martin went nuts against Oakland last week. But I like Diego’s stout run D limiting Martin more than I like the Tee Bees’ horrific secondary stopping Philip Rivers. Pick has a high bust potential, but I gotta listen to my gut when it grumbles.

BRONCOS (5-3) at PANTHERS (2-6)

Line: DEN by 4.

Cote’s pick: DEN 30-20.

TV: 1 p.m., CBS.

Peyton Manning’s next TD pass ties Dan Marino for second all-time with 420, and Peyton has been as hot the past five games as at most any point in his storied career. Carolina’s pass defense is not bad, but I just cannot envision Manning being outscored by the Cats’ offense. Happy plane home for Broncos’ John Fox against the team he coached for nine years.

RAIDERS (3-5) at RAVENS (6-2)

Line: BAL by 7 1/2.

Cote’s pick: BAL 27-17.

TV: 1 p.m., CBS.

Oakland is not a very good traveling team, and Baltimore is one of the great home squads — winner, in fact, of 14 consecutive regular-season games in Crowtown, league’s longest such streak. Ravens are a bit of a shaky 6-2, but Ray Rice’s fantasy owners should be smiling like Obama voters, because he’ll run for miles against Raiders’ awful ground D. Rice, I mean, not Obama.