Opinion

Congressional campaigns

Handicapping the U.S. House races

 

When it’s all over on Tuesday, Republicans should still hold the House. But the chamber will almost certainly change significantly.

McClatchy News Service

CALIFORNIA

Dan Lungren, a nine-term Republican from the Sacramento area, and Democrat Ami Bera are in another expensive House race. More than $6 million in outside money has poured into the district, much of it to Bera’s benefit. Some congressional handicappers have the race leaning Democratic.

FLORIDA

Rep. Allen West, a tea party favorite and one of two black Republicans in the House, is engaged in a nasty battle with challenger Patrick Murphy. The Democrat has attacked West’s interrogation methods from when he was in the Army. West dug up a Murphy arrest from when he was a 19-year-old college student, on suspicion of drunk and disorderly conduct. (The case later was dismissed.)

ILLINOIS

Incumbent Rep. Joe Walsh, another tea party favorite, found himself in a redrawn district, courtesy of the state’s Democratic-controlled legislature. He faces Tammy Duckworth, a double-amputee Iraq War veteran, who spoke at the Democratic National Convention. Recent polls in Chicago have shown Duckworth with leads of 10 to 14 points over Walsh.

MARYLAND

Roscoe Bartlett, an 86-year-old, 10-term conservative lawmaker, is having his toughest run in years in a redrawn Democratic-leaning district. He faces political newcomer John Delaney, a Maryland businessman.

NEW HAMPSHIRE

It’s not easy being an incumbent New Hampshire Republican, as Reps. Charles Bass and Frank Guinta are learning. Bass narrowly won an open seat in 2010, a seat that he once held for six terms. He’s locked in a rematch against Ann McLane Kuster. Speaking of rematches, Guinta is in a tough contest against former Rep. Carol Shea-Porter, who’s trying to recapture the seat she lost two years ago.

Email: wdouglas@mcclatchydc.com; Twitter: @williamdouglas

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