From Our Inbox

The myth of the all-powerful president

 

Throughout the U.S. presidential campaign, Republican and Democratic political operatives have strived to articulate major foreign-policy distinctions between President Obama and Gov. Mitt Romney. Several close foreign-policy watchers, however, have struggled to identify any such differences.

The final presidential debate Monday finally cemented what has been apparent to many over the course of the campaign: Neither Romney nor Obama wants to discuss foreign-policy issues because they don’t matter to prospective voters, and there are no substantive distinctions about how either candidate would deal with prominent issues such as Iran, Syria, Afghanistan and targeted killings via drones. The only potential variation is that Romney has promised massive defense budget increases, but his advisers admit that they would “very much depend on the state of the economy.”

On a deeper level than specific countries or issues, there are five core principles of U.S. foreign policy that are widely held on both sides of the aisle. These principles underscore how presidents — Republican and Democrat alike — conceive of the U.S. foreign-policymaking apparatus, their role as the chief executive officer, and the responsibility of the United States in the world. However, these principles also rest on shaky ground and often undermine U.S. national interests because they reflect a profound misunderstanding of policymaking and how the rest of the world views the United States.

Regardless of who resides in the White House on Jan. 21, 2013, you can assume that he, his senior advisers, and his partisan commentariat allies will believe the following five precepts.

First, the U.S. intelligence community (IC) should have total omniscience over global events, including the precognitive ability to perfectly forecast any malicious behavior by potential adversaries.

The IC is a sprawling network of roughly 210,000 civilian and military employees, 30,000 private contractors, and 17 agencies. With a budget of $75 billion for the national and military intelligence programs, intel is expected to provide warning of national security threats and challenges to policymakers that is timely, accurate, and easily condensed into a one-page memo.

For policymakers who expect the impossible from the IC, intelligence doesn’t merely “fail,” but fails spectacularly in ways that are routinely described as “catastrophic,” “colossal” or “massive.” To be repeatedly shocked by the intel’s inability to flawlessly warn about the behavior of malicious actors is to misunderstand how such information is generated. As the director of national intelligence, James Clapper, stated this month about the attack on the U.S. Consulate in Benghazi, Libya:

The challenge is always a tactical warning, the exact insights ahead of time that such an attack is going to take place. . . . If people don’t behave and emit a behavior or talk or do something else ahead of time, and if you don’t detect it, then it’s going to be very hard to predict and come up with an exact tactical warning that you need.

But blaming intel allows policymakers to hide behind such allegedly predictable failures. As John Maynard Keynes remarked: “There is nothing a Government hates more than to be well-informed; for it makes the process of arriving at decisions much more complicated and difficult.” The intelligence community is tasked to provide specific information and analytical judgments in order for the executive and congressional branches to construct informed policies.

Read more From Our Inbox stories from the Miami Herald

  • Japan’s own worst enemy?

    Unceremoniously forced to resign as Japan’s prime minister in 2007 after only a year in office, Shinzo Abe spent five years in the political wilderness. Few expected that he would return to lead the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), one of Japan’s two major political parties, let alone the country. But in September 2012, the party reinstated him as its leader, and three months later, so did Japan’s voters. “Japan is back,” Abe declared in a February speech in Washington; he could have been talking about himself as well.

  • Who you gonna call? A free press

    On the front row in the Broadhurst Theatre for the Wednesday matinee of “Lucky Guy,” we were so close to the action up on stage that my husband forgot for a minute that he wasn’t actually in a newsroom as a bunch of reporters gathered around to hear a particularly moving Pulitzer speech.

  • The meaning of Memorial Day

    Memorial Day is our nation’s commemoration of the sacrifices made by those whose lives were put on the line for the freedoms we hold sacred.

Miami Herald

Join the
Discussion

The Miami Herald is pleased to provide this opportunity to share information, experiences and observations about what's in the news. Some of the comments may be reprinted elsewhere on the site or in the newspaper. We encourage lively, open debate on the issues of the day, and ask that you refrain from profanity, hate speech, personal comments and remarks that are off point. Thank you for taking the time to offer your thoughts.

The Miami Herald uses Facebook's commenting system. You need to log in with a Facebook account in order to comment. If you have questions about commenting with your Facebook account, click here.

Have a news tip? You can send it anonymously. Click here to send us your tip - or - consider joining the Public Insight Network and become a source for The Miami Herald and el Nuevo Herald.

Hide Comments

This affects comments on all stories.

Cancel OK

  • Videos

  • Quick Job Search

Enter Keyword(s) Enter City Select a State Select a Category