Greg Cote

NFL WEEK 5

Greg Cote’s Week 5 NFL picks

 

gcote@MiamiHerald.com

We were contemplating a legal name change and a disguise after our historically awful prior week, but at least we enjoyed a modest bounce-back last week. Bull’s-eyed our Upset special with Skins winning at Bucs (“Aawwk!”), and also had Saints with points over Pack and Vikes-plus over Detroit among our highlights. Not sure if this qualifies as momentum, but it’s close enough for a desperate man. [Note: Thursday-game pick was Rams (+1 1/2) over Cardinals, 20-17].

Overall Pct. Vs. spread Pct.
Last week10-5.6677-7-1.500
Season32-31.50823-37-3.383
Final 2011159-97.621127-105-24.547

DOLPHINS (1-3) at BENGALS (3-1)

Line: CIN by 3 1/2.

Cote’s pick: CIN 27-24.

TV: 1 p.m., CBS (airing in South Florida).

A 431-yard passer, a 253-yard receiver, eight defensive sacks and it isn’t enough — man, the Dolphins truly ARE inventing new ways to lose. Now, though, hard-luck Miami has won on six of its past seven trips to the Queen City, and I give the Fins a medium shot at an outright road win in this one, following heartbreak overtime losses the past two weeks. That upset hat hangs on this hook: Reggie Bush and a stout running game against a Cincinnati run defense allowing 5.4 yards per carry. Ball control to limit the Bengal offense’s time on the field is the big hope, otherwise Cincy WR A.J. Green will be a Week 5 fantasy darling against a Dolphins secondary that isn’t very good (or particularly healthy). Alas, I see a big day for Green and a purring Cats offense that has averaged 33 points in its current three-game win streak. I also think a ’Gals defense leading the NFL with 17 sacks will make it tougher on Ryan Tannehill than did Arizona a week earlier. That’s why I like The ’Nati outright. The betting line, though — that danging half-point is begging me, wooing and romancing me, to pick Miami to cover. I am smitten.

BRONCOS (2-2) at PATRIOTS (2-2)

Line: NE by 6 1/2.

Cote’s pick: NE 38-34.

TV: 4:25 p.m., CBS (airing in South Florida).

The Game of the Week cabinet gave a cursory glance at Eagles-Steelers and Chargers-Saints this week but ultimately was drawn as if by hypnosis to the holy altar of Peyton Manning vs. Tom Brady. I don’t wanna say this’ll be a shootout, but the score is already 24-21 and kickoff is still two days away. Brady affirmed his magic last week in engineering a 45-point second half that made Buffalo’s defense collapse like a U.S. Ryder Cup team, while Manning has middle-fingered his critics (though not literally; he’s Peyton!) with vintage 300-yard games back to back. Always like Brady at home, always, still, but bet Mr. Manning finds a way to keep it close and make it thrilling deep into the fourth.

FALCONS (4-0) at REDSKINS (2-2)

Line: ATL by 3.

Cote’s pick: WAS 30-28.

TV: 1 p.m., Fox.

“AAAWWWK!” booms the Upset Bird. “I think I’m becoming infatuated with Washingtaawwk!” Hey, sometimes you go with your gut. When your gut is as big as mine, that’s unavoidable. Atlanta is unbeaten and Skins have somehow lost seven consecutive home games, but those trends shall end. See a big day for unheralded Alfred Morris against a run defense that is Falcs’ Achilles heel. “They’ll be dancing in D.C.!” notes the U-Bird. “Well, except at the White House after watching that presidential debaawwk. I’m counting on RGIII to have a better performance than Baraawwk Obaaawwwk!”

Read more Greg Cote stories from the Miami Herald

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Miami Heat's LeBron James (6) tries to maintain possession while being defended by New York Knicks' Carmelo Anthony (7) during the first half of an NBA basketball game, Friday, Nov. 2, 2012, in New York. (AP Photo/Jason DeCrow)

    Greg Cote: Knicks would have been spicier matchup for Miami Heat

    Miami Heat players have been steadfastly neutral in claiming no preference as they waited for Indiana and New York to figure out which would play the underdog in the NBA’s upcoming Eastern Conference finals. Confident champions do not deign to worry about who’s next; they leave the worrying to opponents. The lion who runs the jungle does not much care if he is feasting on zebra or antelope, after all.

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Miami Heat's Dwyane Wade, dunks over Bulls' Joakim Noah # 13 and Nate Robinson # 2, with two minutes left in the fourth quarter of the Miami Heat vs Chicago Bulls, NBA  Eastern Conference playoffs round 2, game 5 at AmericanAirlines Arena in Miami on Wednesday, May 15, 2013.

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    Greg Cote: Dwyane Wade’s heroics help Miami Heat in comeback

    Welcome back, Dwyane Wade.

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MIami Heat's Dwyane Wade sits on the bench in the second quarter holding his leg as they play the Chicago Bulls in Round 2, Game 4, of the NBA Playoffs at the United Center in Chicago, Illinois, May 13, 2013.

    IN MY OPINION

    Greg Cote: Miami Heat’s playoff health tied to Dwyane Wade

    Most of the unusually low numbers from this game should delight Heat fans. Those numbers stunk up this city Monday night and all but required the Bulls arena to be immediately fumigated following this NBA playoff series Game 4 here. Those numbers were Chicago’s meager 65 points scored on abysmal 25.7 percent shooting — both owing largely to a Miami defense that is that good, yes.

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