Marc Caputo

Politics

Marc Caputo: Romney’s missteps won’t be enough to win Florida for Obama

 

mcaputo@MiamiHerald.com

The latest statewide poll by The Miami Herald and its media partners shows a virtual tie in the presidential race in Florida. And it came as a shock to liberals and Democrats.

From the economy to foreign policy to Medicare questions, The Miami Herald/El Nuevo Herald/Tampa Bay Times survey released over the weekend showed President Barack Obama and Mitt Romney neck-and-neck on the issues — or the Republican within striking distance.

Obama and Romney are basically tied, 48-47 percent overall.

Liberals couldn’t understand how this could be true, considering all the self-inflicted wounds of Romney and his campaign.

But the data are the data. The poll reflected how people feel, not how partisans think they should feel. And the poll results remind us that there are other data out there — all bad for an incumbent president — that underpin the entire election in the nation’s biggest battleground state.

In short, it’s the economy, stupid. Plus a little immigration, foreign policy and healthcare.

The data:

•  330,000: the number of homes in foreclosure in Florida. Almost half of all homes are underwater, meaning the owner owes more on the mortgage than the home’s value.

•  67.6 percent: this year’s second-quarter Florida homeownership rate, which hasn’t been this low since about 1999, when 15 percent fewer people lived in the state.

•  8.8 percent: the state’s official unemployment rate, higher than the national average.

•  800,000: the number of people counted within the unemployment rate.

•  399: the number of callers on hold when a Herald reporter recently called to check the waiting time of the state’s “customer service” department for jobless claims.

•  9.8 percent: what the unemployment rate would be if all labor-force-eligible workers who haven’t found work in Florida were counted.

•  60.1 percent: the labor-force participation rate, which hasn’t been this low since 1986.

•  29,000: the amount Florida’s labor force shrank in July.

•  715,000: the number of jobs lost during the 18-month recession.

•  1.4 million: the number of undocumented immigrants deported under President Obama.

•  55-41: the Senate vote that killed the DREAM Act sought by advocates of limited immigration amnesty.

•  4: the number of foreign-service workers, including Ambassador Chris Stevens, killed at the U.S. consulate in Benghazi, Libya, on the 11th anniversary of 9/11.

•  1979: the last time an ambassador of the United States was killed overseas, in Afghanistan.

•  $716 billion: the estimated reductions in future increases — commonly called “cuts” — to Medicare under the president’s affordable healthcare act.

•  $16 trillion: the current size of the national debt.

•  18 percent: the proportion of Floridians on Medicaid, the healthcare program for the poor.

The parade of horribles goes on, and largely began under Republican leadership.

George W. Bush was president when the recession started and budget deficits ballooned amid unfunded wars, tax cuts and a Medicare prescription-drug benefit.

Republicans have controlled Florida for years. And Gov. Rick Scott and his fellow Republicans made it tougher for people to get jobless benefits. That increases 1) the level of frustration and/or 2) the likelihood people don’t get their checks and spend them quickly.

Read more Marc Caputo stories from the Miami Herald

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