Its been a rough month for Venezuelan President Hugo Chávez. In less than two weeks, he has had to deal with a deadly prison riot, a collapsing bridge, flooding, an embarrassing confrontation with steel workers on live TV and the countrys worst oil-industry disaster, which killed at least 41 and still has families digging through the rubble looking for loved ones.
The avalanche of bad news would be hard on any leader, but this train of troubles comes as Chávez, 58, is heading into an Oct. 7 presidential race that polls suggest is getting tighter.
For the last 14 years in office, Chávez has played the roll of an energetic leader with a common touch. Even when his administration had missteps, voters rarely held their charismatic comandante accountable.
But the scale of this months calamities might change that dynamic, said Xavier Rodríguez Franco with Entorno Parlamentario, a legislative watchdog group.
The events the country has had to face recently clearly show a breakdown in the governments ability to manage, he said And that breakdown is dragging down the presidents image.
Chávezs days of discontent started Aug. 15 when a vital bridge connecting Caracas to eastern Venezuela collapsed. Four days later, gangs at the Yare I penitentiary confronted each other with guns and explosives leaving 26 dead, including a visiting family member. It was an embarrassment for an administration that has declared prison security one of its top concerns but has been unable to staunch the bleeding. During the first half of this year, 304 inmates have been killed and 572 have been injured, according to the Inter-American Commission on Human Rights, which called on the government to step up efforts to disarm prisoners.
The following day, Chávez traveled to the city of Guyana to hold a live broadcast carried on all TV and radio stations with workers of the state-run Sidor steel plant. Presidential cadenas are usually tightly scripted and designed to highlight government achievements, and theyre a key part of Chávez reelection strategy.
Thats why Venezuelans were surprised to see steel workers shout over the president and complain that the government hadnt renewed their labor contract, which expired over two years ago. Amid the commotion, Chávezs microphone was cut and the broadcast abruptly ended. It was the first time that anyone could recall a cadena being cancelled mid-transmission.
That the outburst took place in a Chávez stronghold (he won 68.8 percent of the vote in Bolivar state in 2006) only underscored the sense of malaise.
Russ Dallen, managing partner at Caracas Capital Markets financial firm, said Chávez appears to be distracted by his battle with an undisclosed form of cancer which dates back to at least June 2011 and which the president claims to have beaten.
This is not the Chávez we have come to know over the last decade and a half, he said. Clearly, his illness has affected him and hes not the maximum leader he has been in the past. And thats why you see so many things collapsing, and this time the problems are sticking.
But all the troubles were overshadowed early Saturday, when a huge fireball erupted at the refinery, part of the nations largest refinery complex. The blast left 151 wounded and homes leveled.